Imaginative-Skyscraper
0x0a6f6a227c2c34bde3773451cbda21c63ca472f2
Wallet digest
Activity score
25/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
45
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-11.5K
Realised
$-1.6K
Win rate
0%
40 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 45- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
12363 shares @ 20.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.5K
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6081 shares @ 11.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-675.00
- YES
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 PGA Championship?
5882 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-999.99
- YES
Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 PGA Championship?
5687 shares @ 17.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-1000.00
- YES
Will Kurt Kitayama win the 2026 PGA Championship?
5556 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Matti Schmid win the 2026 PGA Championship?
5048 shares @ 18.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-945.44
- YES
Will Chris Gotterup win the 2026 PGA Championship?
4466 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
4000 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Nick Taylor win the 2026 PGA Championship?
3988 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
3571 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.31Jul 20, 00:11 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$3.46Jul 20, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.6KJul 19, 20:47 UTC
- YIELD$0.35Jul 19, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.36Jul 18, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.36Jul 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.30Jul 16, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.64Jul 15, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.70Jul 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.70Jul 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.65Jul 12, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.67Jul 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.62Jul 10, 00:11 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$3.41Jul 9, 21:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.61Jul 9, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.60Jul 8, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.59Jul 7, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.57Jul 6, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.57Jul 5, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.58Jul 4, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
51/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 40 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
10 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
40 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $1.2K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 16, 00:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 40 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.