Irresponsible-Blight
0x0a7f9c30f55ab4a983fdb1c6db30fed24f1ccaa4
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$1.23
Total PnL
$-24.77
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
24 shares @ 4.1¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.23
$0.23
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 37°F or below on May 9?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET
10 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
4 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
4 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET
4 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET
4 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET
4 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
4 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET
2 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jun 11, 10:06 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - June 3, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$1.04Jun 3, 08:22 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - June 3, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$1.21Jun 3, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 3, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$1.03Jun 3, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 3, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$1.03Jun 3, 08:15 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - June 3, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$0.15Jun 3, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 3, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$1.03Jun 3, 08:04 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - June 3, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$1.03Jun 3, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - June 3, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$1.02Jun 3, 07:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?$0.99Jun 3, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?$1.01Jun 3, 07:56 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - June 3, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$1.12Jun 3, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 3, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$1.02Jun 3, 07:48 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$0.98Jun 3, 07:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1.00Jun 3, 07:42 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET$0.45Jun 3, 07:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET$1.05Jun 3, 07:40 UTC
- TRADESELLUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?$1.00Jun 3, 07:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?$1.00Jun 3, 07:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.99Jun 3, 07:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 68/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $1.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 25, 05:50 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 11, 10:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.