Second-Citron
0x0a908dc3bce49fbdf37e91acf031a20f17a92260
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
38
Open notional
$469.09
Total PnL
$-169.11
Realised
$18.21
Win rate
60%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 38- YES
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?
200 shares @ 79.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$179.00
$21.00
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
100 shares @ 96.5¢·now 98.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$98.15
$1.65
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
72 shares @ 69.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$72.43
$22.43
- YES
Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?
103 shares @ 35.0¢·now 59.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$60.56
$24.58
- YES
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
44 shares @ 68.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$22.28
$-7.72
- YES
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
32 shares @ 30.9¢·now 59.3¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$19.18
$9.18
- YES
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
94 shares @ 16.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.59
$-1.41
- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
137 shares @ 7.3¢·now 2.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.22
$-6.78
- YES
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?
9 shares @ 34.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.64
$-2.27
- YES
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
9 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.04
$-1.96
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$18.92Jul 5, 17:29 UTC
- TRADESELLChristine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?$25.64Jul 5, 17:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the second highest private market valuation on June 30?$230.76Jul 5, 17:24 UTC
- REDEEMStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$68.49Jul 5, 17:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the second highest private market valuation on June 30?$188.34May 21, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?$159.33May 21, 10:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Goldman Sachs fail by June 30, 2026?$394.82May 15, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?$2.92May 15, 10:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYClarity Act signed into law in 2026?$30.38May 15, 09:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$30.01May 15, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$15.63May 15, 09:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$50.54May 15, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$10.46May 15, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$96.67Apr 28, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$20.00Apr 22, 08:12 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$45.57Apr 22, 08:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?$43.99Apr 22, 08:10 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$4.28Apr 22, 08:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?$113.64Apr 22, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?$40.00Apr 21, 19:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
21/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
60% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 65/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $80.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 17, 13:56 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 5, 17:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.