Strange-Dozen
0x0ac7cce8b471e5f4722f6987ca5be8e5e0915a6b
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$1.6K
Total PnL
$-743.88
Realised
$136.59
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- NO
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?
563 shares @ 88.8¢·now 91.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$512.28
$12.28
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?
382 shares @ 96.4¢·now 96.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$368.84
$0.70
- NO
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be arrested by September 30?
307 shares @ 97.8¢·now 97.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$299.23
$-0.77
- YES
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
301 shares @ 58.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$176.08
$1.50
- NO
Will Anthropic IPO by July 31, 2026?
150 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2027$149.93
$0.68
- NO
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2027?
163 shares @ 58.1¢·now 58.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2027$94.30
$-0.19
- NO
Will Reddit (RDDT) beat quarterly earnings?
20 shares @ 81.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$1.30
$-14.90
- NO
Will Ben McAdams be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?
2400 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-216.00
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2000 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-80.00
- YES
Will Nate Blouin be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?
1500 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-165.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.07Jul 28, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$177.51Jul 27, 17:12 UTC
- TRADESELLPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?$930.02Jul 27, 17:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Base launch a token by June 30, 2027?$97.26Jul 27, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?$503.91Jul 27, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Benjamin Netanyahu be arrested by September 30?$300.26Jul 27, 17:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 27, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 26, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 25, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 24, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 23, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 22, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on July 20?$20.00Jul 21, 02:30 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 21, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 20, 00:12 UTC
- REWARD$10.22Jul 20, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLPutin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?$258.27Jul 19, 19:50 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?$420.00Jul 19, 16:16 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?$320.00Jul 19, 10:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?$440.00Jul 19, 09:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
23 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 67/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $270.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 6, 02:52 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.