Flaky-Strudel
0x0addcb98cefc389af9956254215b7f76344f4848
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
17
Open notional
$17.17
Total PnL
$-671.23
Realised
$-337.14
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
13 shares @ 29.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$13.45
$9.55
- NO
Will Trump visit China by March 31?
2 shares @ 51.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$1.96
$0.96
- NO
Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
1 shares @ 78.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.28
$0.28
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
5 shares @ 20.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.47
$-0.52
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
24733 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-286.16
- NO
Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?
3000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
455 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
417 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?
111 shares @ 9.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- NO
Will Iran strike nine or more countries in March?
33 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.20
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?$3.45May 24, 12:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$0.00May 24, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?$1.00May 19, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 15 and May 22?$1.04May 19, 12:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$5.20May 19, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$5.20May 19, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$6.24May 19, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 7?$1.00Mar 6, 02:40 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$2.66Mar 3, 08:14 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$3.00Mar 3, 08:12 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$1.00Mar 3, 08:12 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$1.00Mar 3, 08:11 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$1.00Mar 3, 08:10 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$4.96Mar 3, 08:09 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$1.00Mar 3, 08:07 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$1.00Mar 3, 08:07 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$1.00Mar 3, 08:07 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$1.61Mar 3, 08:05 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$2.10Mar 3, 08:04 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$4.41Mar 3, 08:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $6.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 2, 11:42 UTC
- Last active
- May 24, 12:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.