Dry-Hypothermia
0x0b0cfeea4eccfc94ce65dc733fce06392b681315
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$47.02
Total PnL
$-52.78
Realised
$-11.48
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
47 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$47.02
$0.02
- JAZZ
Raptors vs. Jazz
53 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-10.60
- JAZZ
Cavaliers vs. Jazz
41 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-12.72
- MAVERICKS
Mavericks vs. Nuggets
37 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-5.90
- KNICKS
Knicks vs. Thunder
33 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-8.30
- BUCKS
Bucks vs. Trail Blazers
27 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-3.80
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$47.00Jul 6, 07:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$44.95Jul 6, 01:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$45.00Jul 5, 18:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$29.97Jul 5, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$30.00Jul 5, 13:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$38.94Jul 4, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$39.01Jul 4, 04:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alex Padilla win the California Governor Election in 2026?$30.00Jul 4, 04:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alex Padilla win the California Governor Election in 2026?$30.00Jun 21, 09:01 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 1, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$252.68May 31, 21:44 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 31, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 30, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 29, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 28, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 27, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$253.06May 26, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jeon Hyun-heui win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$237.74May 19, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jeon Hyun-heui win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$238.01May 7, 06:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?$219.72May 7, 03:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $183.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 27, 06:46 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 6, 07:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.