0x0b4e4003881d9ea2263dc9d4490c4ba2da520dfb
0x0b4e4003881d9ea2263dc9d4490c4ba2da520dfb
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
4
Open notional
$70.30
Total PnL
$-162.99
Realised
$-42.53
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
148 shares @ 48.5¢·now 47.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$70.30
$-1.48
- YES
Over $30M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?
58 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$0.00
$-22.47
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - April 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET
56 shares @ 74.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-41.50
- UP
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 1, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET
56 shares @ 99.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026$0.00
$-55.01
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?$3.53Aug 21, 04:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?$67.43Aug 21, 04:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?$71.11Aug 21, 04:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?$72.59Aug 21, 04:22 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$3.14Aug 21, 03:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$22.82Aug 21, 03:15 UTC
- TRADESELLSkin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027?$132.10Aug 21, 03:15 UTC
- REWARD$10.90Aug 21, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYSkin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027?$142.14Aug 20, 14:07 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$65.93Aug 20, 13:28 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$2.48Aug 20, 12:46 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$3.63Aug 20, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$75.65Aug 20, 12:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$19.69Aug 20, 12:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$69.93Aug 20, 12:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.01Aug 20, 12:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$87.29Aug 20, 12:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$174.40Aug 20, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$174.74Aug 20, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$177.28Aug 20, 12:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
16/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $65.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 17, 04:52 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 21, 04:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.