Aware-Jewel
0x0b5bce8e6b9983c0bfde1442d3578386546edca3
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.9K
Realised
$49.56
Win rate
73%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
44136 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-215.87
- YES
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by May 31?
5242 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-80.99
- YES
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?
3259 shares @ 6.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-218.75
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 27?
2333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- NO
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?
1286 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-13.00
- NO
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
1282 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
1248 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
1225 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?
1200 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$0.33Jun 23, 14:34 UTC
- SPLITBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$0.76Jun 23, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET$1.07Jun 23, 10:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET$1.07Jun 23, 10:19 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?$1.88Jun 23, 10:19 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET$0.00Jun 23, 10:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET$1.07Jun 23, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$5.22Jun 23, 09:59 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET$6.55Jun 23, 09:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET$1.04Jun 23, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET$1.04Jun 23, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET$1.04Jun 23, 09:25 UTC
- TRADESELLAbbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by June 30, 2026?$0.48Jun 23, 09:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Any Other Score?$10.16Jun 22, 20:31 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Argentina 1 - 3 Austria?$0.00Jun 22, 19:26 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Austria?$13.32Jun 22, 19:26 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Any Other Score?$0.00Jun 22, 19:25 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Argentina 1 - 1 Austria?$0.00Jun 22, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Austria win on 2026-06-22?$4.12Jun 22, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Argentina 3 - 3 Austria?$2.06Jun 22, 17:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
31/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
73% win rate over 11 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 35/100.
11 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $3.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 21, 16:26 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 23, 14:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.