Well-Informed-Problem
0x0b87692dcecccd8128ef1439ad3cdbbc220fdbdf
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
33553 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-234.63
- YES
Will Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson have no official winner?
5793 shares @ 7.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2024$0.00
$-427.69
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
5000 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 19, 2024$0.00
$-140.00
- YES
Will Dean Phillips win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
5000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 19, 2024$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
5000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 19, 2024$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Elizabeth Warren win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
5000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 19, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will someone else win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
4473 shares @ 19.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2024$0.00
$-855.47
- YES
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
3000 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 19, 2024$0.00
$-84.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 22?
2382 shares @ 12.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-298.16
- YES
Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
2000 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 19, 2024$0.00
$-74.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$128.31Jun 2, 17:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$114.37Jun 2, 17:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$1.30Jun 2, 16:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 23?$21.67Jan 22, 17:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 22?$50.00Jan 22, 15:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 22?$100.00Jan 22, 15:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 22?$100.00Jan 22, 15:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 22?$28.17Jan 22, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 22?$14.96Jan 22, 04:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 22?$1.11Jan 22, 04:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 22?$20.00Jan 22, 04:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 21?$36.07Jan 21, 21:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 20?$0.00Jan 21, 13:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 21?$24.17Jan 21, 03:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 20?$24.16Jan 21, 03:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 20?$20.03Jan 20, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson have no official winner?$327.71Nov 16, 03:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson have no official winner?$99.99Nov 15, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the HBO documentary identify Len Sassaman as Satoshi?$133.58Oct 8, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala say "inflation" 3+ times during her Nevada speech?$50.00Sep 29, 06:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $82.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 18, 23:23 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 17:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".