Stupendous-Mozzarella
0x0b9ff2188a234ee179721f2389d4d2834214d299
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
41
Open notional
$116.62
Total PnL
$30.25
Realised
$17.61
Win rate
83%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 41- YES
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?
111 shares @ 27.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$29.44
$-0.56
- YES
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
30 shares @ 13.6¢·now 58.4¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$17.50
$13.41
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
18 shares @ 16.8¢·now 58.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$10.63
$7.57
- YES
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
10 shares @ 66.1¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$8.55
$1.94
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
15 shares @ 19.7¢·now 41.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$6.34
$3.34
- YES
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
30 shares @ 39.8¢·now 18.5¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$5.54
$-6.39
- YES
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
8 shares @ 13.1¢·now 41.9¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$3.19
$2.19
- YES
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5 shares @ 21.7¢·now 61.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.07
$1.98
- YES
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6 shares @ 18.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$2.31
$1.31
- YES
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?
5 shares @ 42.3¢·now 36.8¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$1.84
$-0.28
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?$1.04Jul 16, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYJude Bellingham: 1+ goals$1.04Jul 16, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: France 2 - 1 England?$1.04Jul 16, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: France 3 - 1 England?$1.05Jul 16, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: France 3 - 2 England?$1.05Jul 16, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: France 2 - 3 England?$1.05Jul 16, 19:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-19?$31.09Jul 16, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5$1.66Jul 16, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Argentina?$1.05Jul 16, 19:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?$1.04Jul 16, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?$1.05Jul 16, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Argentina?$1.05Jul 16, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina?$1.05Jul 16, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYLionel Messi: 1+ assists$1.04Jul 16, 19:02 UTC
- REDEEMFrance vs. Spain: O/U 2.5$0.00Jul 16, 18:57 UTC
- REDEEMKylian Mbappé: 1+ goals$0.00Jul 16, 18:57 UTC
- REDEEMArgentina to score first vs. England?$0.00Jul 16, 18:57 UTC
- REDEEMLionel Messi: 1+ goals$0.00Jul 16, 18:57 UTC
- REDEEMHarry Kane: 1+ goals$0.00Jul 16, 18:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$0.00Jul 16, 18:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
31/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
83% win rate over 12 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
24 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 41/100.
12 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $2.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 15, 17:58 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 16, 19:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.