Ironclad-Solicitor
0x0ba813c3c72550518654f17ca2af28dd88f5e4e4
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
18
Open notional
$181.87
Total PnL
$102.10
Realised
$102.06
Win rate
83%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
270 shares @ 26.5¢·now 34.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$93.12
$21.49
- YES
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?
150 shares @ 26.9¢·now 27.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$41.17
$0.82
- YES
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December?
515 shares @ 5.3¢·now 7.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$36.08
$8.89
- YES
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?
100 shares @ 19.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.50
$-9.50
- DOWN
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 9?
108 shares @ 1.1¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$1.73
$0.54
- YES
Will Safepoint's market cap be between $1.5B and $1.7B at market close on IPO day?
130 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.20
$-0.04
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on July 9?
14 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.06
$-0.17
- GENTLE MATES
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-2.5) vs Gentle Mates (+2.5)
10 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.01
$-0.01
- YES
REKONIX vs Vici Gaming: Draw (1-1)?
2473 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-2.47
- UNDER
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5
1360 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.36
Recent activity
- TRADESELLSPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 9?$3.53Jul 9, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYMap 3 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-2.5) vs Gentle Mates (+2.5)$0.01Jul 9, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYSPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 9?$2.53Jul 9, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on July 9?$0.23Jul 9, 17:25 UTC
- TRADESELLMap 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Nemesis (-6.5) vs Alliance (+6.5)$0.62Jul 9, 15:33 UTC
- TRADESELLMap 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Nemesis (-6.5) vs Alliance (+6.5)$0.31Jul 9, 15:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYMap 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Nemesis (-6.5) vs Alliance (+6.5)$0.30Jul 9, 15:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYMap 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Nemesis (-6.5) vs Alliance (+6.5)$0.01Jul 9, 15:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYMap 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Nemesis (-6.5) vs Alliance (+6.5)$0.35Jul 9, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYMap 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Nemesis (-6.5) vs Alliance (+6.5)$0.61Jul 9, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYMap 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5$0.01Jul 9, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYMap 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5$0.01Jul 9, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYMap 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5$0.01Jul 9, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYMap 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5$0.01Jul 9, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYMap 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5$0.01Jul 9, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYMap 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5$0.01Jul 9, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYMap 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5$0.01Jul 9, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYMap 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5$0.01Jul 9, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYMap 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5$0.10Jul 9, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYMap 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5$0.01Jul 9, 15:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
19/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
83% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $0.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 8, 09:23 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 9, 18:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.