Fumbling-Tripod
0x0bb94b1649caa6b103bdddf57943ed126864b47d
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
1
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 1°C on January 10?$1.00Jan 9, 18:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?$1.43Jan 9, 18:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?$1.56Jan 9, 18:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?$1.22Jan 9, 18:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell before 2027?$1.91Jan 9, 18:26 UTC
- TRADESELLNicolás Maduro released from custody by January 31, 2026?$4.08Jan 9, 18:26 UTC
- TRADESELLMacron out by June 30, 2026?$4.02Jan 9, 18:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$4.52Jan 9, 18:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$4.63Jan 9, 18:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?$4.57Jan 9, 18:26 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$4.67Jan 9, 18:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$4.57Jan 9, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 0°C or below on January 10?$1.00Jan 9, 16:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 3°C on January 11?$0.16Jan 9, 16:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be 52°F or higher on January 11?$0.40Jan 9, 16:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be 43°F or below on January 10?$0.11Jan 9, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 3°C on January 11?$1.00Jan 9, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 1°C on January 10?$1.00Jan 9, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 43°F or below on January 10?$1.00Jan 9, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 52°F or higher on January 11?$1.00Jan 9, 16:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $3.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 21, 14:41 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 9, 18:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.