Single-Heavy
0x0bc46452369b36101e158fe895ce91f9c7eb2d40
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
63
Open notional
$7.0K
Total PnL
$229.70
Realised
$745.21
Win rate
90%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 63- NO
Will Cătălin Predoiu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
1934 shares @ 86.7¢·now 97.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.9K
$199.09
- NO
Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31?
1740 shares @ 92.2¢·now 95.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.7K
$60.48
- NO
Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
2223 shares @ 80.3¢·now 72.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.6K
$-173.20
- NO
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?
1681 shares @ 54.7¢·now 58.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$980.67
$60.85
- NO
Will Radu Burnete be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
379 shares @ 89.8¢·now 97.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$367.44
$27.34
- NO
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL?
273 shares @ 58.7¢·now 62.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$170.84
$10.40
- YES
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
677 shares @ 2.8¢·now 16.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$112.79
$93.65
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD?
293 shares @ 19.0¢·now 19.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$55.65
$0.10
- YES
Will Dan Motreanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
908 shares @ 2.0¢·now 4.2¢·exp May 31, 2026$38.14
$19.61
- YES
Will Dragoș Pîslaru be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
908 shares @ 2.0¢·now 1.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$13.62
$-4.91
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$592.74Jun 20, 19:43 UTC
- REWARD$3.04Jun 20, 00:00 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.75Jun 19, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$3.89Jun 19, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYRomanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?$72.71Jun 18, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$158.00Jun 18, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYRomanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?$206.16Jun 18, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYRomanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?$2.11Jun 18, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYRomanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?$165.23Jun 18, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYRomanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?$46.60Jun 18, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$244.17Jun 18, 08:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$1.1KJun 18, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$52.41Jun 18, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$301.39Jun 18, 08:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$80.73Jun 18, 07:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$150.00Jun 18, 07:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$283.51Jun 17, 10:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$8.00Jun 17, 10:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$44.00Jun 17, 10:17 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$4.92Jun 17, 00:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
24/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
90% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $139.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 16, 07:49 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 20, 19:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.