Vigorous-Concentrate
0x0bc5c1071bcdb856c92ebd566df82217d81e67d0
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$47.75
Total PnL
$-16.66
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
225 shares @ 8.9¢·now 7.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$17.64
$-2.36
- YES
Will Elon Musk and Sam Altman settle?
55 shares @ 18.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.80
$0.83
- NO
Will Trump visit China by June 30?
156 shares @ 3.2¢·now 3.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$5.39
$0.39
- YES
Will Anthropic have the second highest estimated revenue for May 11–May 17, 2026?
228 shares @ 4.4¢·now 2.4¢·exp May 17, 2026$5.36
$-4.64
- YES
Will any other model have the best AI model on May 16, 2026?
172 shares @ 5.8¢·now 2.4¢·exp May 16, 2026$4.04
$-5.96
- YES
Critical Discord Incident by May 31?
13 shares @ 39.0¢·now 23.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.95
$-2.05
- YES
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 18 be less than 80?
64 shares @ 6.9¢·now 2.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$1.57
$-2.87
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk and Sam Altman settle?$10.3018h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by June 30?$5.1923h ago
- TRADEBUYCritical Discord Incident by May 31?$5.1223h ago
- TRADEBUYWill any other model have the best AI model on May 16, 2026?$10.3823h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 18 be less than 80?$4.6523h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the second highest estimated revenue for May 11–May 17, 2026?$10.3823h ago
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$20.9123h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $9.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 23h ago
- Last active
- 18h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
