Noxious-Zebra
0x0bcf43f6488100d031e5aec71d55d028c1ea9f3f
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
34
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-109.14
Realised
$-0.15
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on June 2?
2490 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-14.99
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 2?
2161 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 2?
2038 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 31?
1500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on June 2?
603 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 22?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on May 27?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET
103 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on May 29?
50 shares @ 49.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$0.00Jun 18, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$10.00Jun 17, 15:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.57Jun 17, 15:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.81Jun 17, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$30.00Jun 17, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1.00Jun 15, 12:10 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$29.56Jun 15, 12:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$30.00Jun 15, 08:00 UTC
- TRADESELLAtlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox$1.15Jun 15, 04:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$27.00Jun 14, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYCD Concepción vs. CD Limache: O/U 2.5$1.02Jun 14, 17:12 UTC
- TRADESELLMiami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates$9.75Jun 14, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates$10.10Jun 14, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates$1.02Jun 14, 16:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYAtlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox$1.02Jun 14, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 14?$1.03Jun 14, 14:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 14?$0.87Jun 14, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 14?$1.03Jun 14, 14:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 14?$1.07Jun 14, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 14?$1.02Jun 14, 14:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $4.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 4, 11:31 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 18, 05:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.