Made-Up-Commandment
0x0bd23b7e5e266632a1c2355d009c21e54f4ed98b
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
55
Open notional
$3.23
Total PnL
$-91.68
Realised
$-1.31
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 55- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET
3 shares @ 31.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$3.23
$2.23
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
15 shares @ 6.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET
13 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET
13 shares @ 74.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-9.81
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?
11 shares @ 8.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-0.96
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - April 19, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET
10 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET
10 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-5.83
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - April 19, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET
9 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-0.94
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
9 shares @ 22.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - April 19, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET
9 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-4.84
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET$1.05Jun 7, 02:21 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$5.26Jun 7, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$5.02Jun 7, 02:13 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET$5.10Jun 7, 02:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET$2.03Jun 6, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET$2.03Jun 6, 10:12 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET$0.00May 12, 01:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET$1.03May 12, 00:52 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET$2.20May 12, 00:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET$2.01May 12, 00:39 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET$0.00May 12, 00:38 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET$1.30May 12, 00:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET$1.02May 12, 00:33 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET$1.27May 12, 00:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET$1.01May 11, 22:52 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET$0.00May 11, 05:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET$2.03May 11, 05:41 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET$2.47May 11, 05:40 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET$0.00May 11, 04:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET$2.03May 11, 04:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
28 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 68/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $1.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 27, 10:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 7, 02:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.