Distant-Conference
0x0bdf59f507cae020587653cafa39337e1893ce82
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
24
Open notional
$11.36
Total PnL
$-65.55
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
3 shares @ 87.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$2.92
$0.37
- YES
Will Liam rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?
3 shares @ 89.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.55
$0.26
- YES
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after March 2026 meeting?
2 shares @ 80.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$2.48
$0.48
- YES
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the March Meeting?
1 shares @ 76.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$1.32
$0.32
- YES
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?
1 shares @ 92.0¢·now 96.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.07
$0.05
- YES
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?
1 shares @ 92.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.03
$0.01
- YES
Will Superman be the top grossing movie of 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will He Xiaopeng be announced as the next CEO of Tesla?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will How to Train Your Dragon be the top grossing movie of 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the March Meeting?$1.00Mar 16, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after March 2026 meeting?$2.00Mar 16, 08:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Canada's monthly inflation increase by ≤0.0% in December?$1.03Mar 16, 08:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Faustin-Archange Touadéra win the 2025 Central African Republic presidential election?$1.05Mar 16, 08:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jean Smart (Hacks) win Best Actress – Television Musical or Comedy at the 83rd Golden Globes?$1.10Mar 16, 08:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.19Mar 16, 08:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill One Battle After Another win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.60Mar 16, 08:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Yoweri Kaguta Museveni win the 2026 Ugandan presidential election?$2.11Mar 16, 08:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?$2.23Mar 16, 08:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the top AI model at the end of January 2026?$2.35Mar 16, 08:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$2.45Mar 16, 08:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026?$2.52Mar 16, 08:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Union Progressiste pour le Renouveau (UPR) win the most seats in the 2026 Benin parliamentary election?$3.25Mar 16, 08:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$3.47Mar 16, 08:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$1.05Feb 28, 07:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jessie Buckley (Hamnet) win Best Actress – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?$1.12Jan 12, 07:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Adolescence win Best Television Limited Series at the 83rd Golden Globes?$1.33Jan 12, 04:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill KPop Demon Hunters win Best Motion Picture – Animated at the 83rd Golden Globes?$1.16Jan 12, 04:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill One Battle After Another win Best Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy at the 83rd Golden Globes?$1.19Jan 12, 04:54 UTC
- REDEEMBrazil’s 12-month inflation below 5.50% for December 2025?$1.04Jan 12, 04:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $1.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 4, 05:02 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 16, 08:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".