Will Liam rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?
Probability
90¢
1h
+0.1pp
24h
+0.9pp
24h Vol
$1.5K
Liquidity
$3.3K
Probability (last 7 days)
+4.3pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 06:39SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 90¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.1pp
to 90¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.1pp
to 90¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve according to the male name ranked #1 in the U.S. Social Security Administration’s (SSA) official list of popular baby names for 2025, published on the SSA website: https://www.ssa.gov/oact/babynames/. The authoritative source is the SSA’s “Popular Names by Birth Year” tool. To view the relevant "Male name" list, set the Birth Year to 2025. This market may resolve as soon as the SSA releases its 2025 name data for the specified year. If none of the listed options is ranked #1 or if the SSA does not release the 2025 rankings by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Dec 31, 2025
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- the male name ranked #1 in the UAmbiguous wordingextracted · low
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).
Top Holders
20 wallets- 0xa5ef…296612.8K
- Wicked-Tophat786
- Ideal-Score537
- Dizzy-Lace528
- Outlandish-Complicity362