Straight-Cascade
0x0bf6ae67cf3dcbca6955d8cd35ee31bf926f8e29
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$19.51
Total PnL
$-10.72
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
8 shares @ 78.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$5.48
$-0.95
- YES
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?
5 shares @ 78.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$4.67
$1.03
- YES
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
9 shares @ 46.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$4.10
$0.04
- YES
Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by December 31?
4 shares @ 52.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$4.04
$1.94
- YES
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
14 shares @ 35.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$1.21
$-3.79
- YES
Zelenskyy wears a suit and tie during next Trump meeting?
18 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
12 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Trump say "ICE" during Bill Signing on December 12?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?
6 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUkraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by December 31?$2.10Dec 12, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "ICE" during Bill Signing on December 12?$1.00Dec 12, 19:59 UTC
- TRADESELLS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 12?$0.02Dec 12, 19:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 12?$1.00Dec 12, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 12?$2.00Dec 12, 14:32 UTC
- REDEEMS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 11?$4.08Dec 12, 05:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 11?$2.00Dec 11, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYZelenskyy wears a suit and tie during next Trump meeting?$2.00Dec 11, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?$3.64Dec 11, 13:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Gaza on December 10?$4.86Dec 11, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?$1.00Dec 10, 20:11 UTC
- TRADESELLS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 10?$5.79Dec 10, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 10?$4.57Dec 10, 19:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Gaza on December 10?$4.56Dec 10, 19:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Hell" 5+ times during Pennsylvania events on December 9?$0.00Dec 10, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.06Dec 9, 17:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.07Dec 9, 17:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.00Dec 9, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Hell" 5+ times during Pennsylvania events on December 9?$3.20Dec 9, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$6.43Dec 9, 15:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $3.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 8, 17:24 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 12, 20:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.