Quarterly-Alpaca
0x0c0f4a31df3129311c1044ead1fe8124dd23b5c1
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$12.35
Total PnL
$-5.65
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
2 shares @ 55.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$1.82
$0.82
- YES
Will Olivia Dean win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
2 shares @ 59.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$1.68
$0.68
- YES
Will no listed leader be out in 2025?
1 shares @ 70.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.43
$0.43
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
1 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.22
$0.22
- YES
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?
1 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.22
$0.22
- YES
Will PSG win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?
1 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$1.14
$0.14
- YES
Will Wolves be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?
1 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$1.11
$0.11
- YES
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's January 2026 meeting?
1 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$1.11
$0.11
- YES
Will Arsenal finish first in UCL league phase?
1 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.08
$0.08
- YES
Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch?
1 shares @ 88.0¢·now 48.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.55
$-0.45
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill PSG win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?$1.00Feb 9, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?$1.00Jan 29, 12:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's January 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 23, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$1.00Jan 7, 05:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal finish first in UCL league phase?$1.00Dec 26, 10:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Swag II first-week album sales be between 75000 and 100000?$1.07Dec 19, 12:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Portugal win UEFA Group F for 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.08Dec 19, 12:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Gabby's Dollhouse: The Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 23m?$1.09Dec 19, 12:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jeannette Jara win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?$1.15Dec 19, 12:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$1.23Dec 19, 12:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$1.00Dec 19, 12:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYFelix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch?$1.00Dec 12, 05:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Olivia Dean win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?$1.00Nov 28, 10:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no listed leader be out in 2025?$1.00Nov 24, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$1.00Nov 14, 06:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wolves be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?$1.00Nov 7, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jeannette Jara win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?$1.00Oct 31, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Henri Bontenbal become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?$1.00Oct 24, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?$1.00Oct 17, 06:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 25% and 40% on November 12?$1.00Oct 10, 10:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 29, 12:39 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 9, 06:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".