Conventional-Cottage
0x0c1827fb778b4d7d6fb655534ef3423563910535
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$10.97
Total PnL
$-35.65
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
6 shares @ 98.0¢·now 97.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.83
$-0.04
- NO
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
5 shares @ 95.4¢·now 95.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.13
$0.01
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on January 9?
3157 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-6.31
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 13?
2108 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-4.20
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 3?
2090 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-4.16
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 on May 10?
2087 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-4.17
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on April 29?
2084 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-4.17
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 6?
2084 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-4.17
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 on May 8?
2073 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-4.15
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on February 1?
1078 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.08
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Amazon (AMZN) finish week of June 8 above $285?$10.25Jun 12, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon (AMZN) finish week of June 8 above $285?$10.20Jun 9, 03:50 UTC
- REWARD$0.42Jun 4, 00:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill RIKU Dining Group Ltd’s market cap be less than $90M at market close on IPO day?$5.23Jun 1, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RIKU Dining Group Ltd’s market cap be less than $90M at market close on IPO day?$5.20May 25, 03:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of May 18 2026?$5.01May 25, 03:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of May 18 2026?$5.00May 20, 06:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 13?$0.01May 14, 02:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 13?$4.19May 14, 02:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,200 on May 10?$4.17May 11, 03:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,200 on May 8?$4.15May 9, 02:45 UTC
- TRADEBUY10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$5.12May 7, 02:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 6?$4.17May 6, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 3?$0.01May 3, 07:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 3?$0.00May 3, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 3?$0.00May 3, 06:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 3?$0.01May 3, 06:51 UTC
- REDEEMTrump out as President by April 30?$5.27May 3, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 3?$4.15May 3, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on April 29?$4.17Apr 29, 09:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $417.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 2, 11:38 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 20:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.