Assured-Appearance
0x0c1b9058007ced4f51375e168049c362caf0e279
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$1.26
Total PnL
$-23.72
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
110 shares @ 1.7¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.26
$-0.61
- DRX
LoL: DRX vs Dplus KIA (BO1)
8120 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-8.12
- TOP ESPORTS
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 25, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on December 5?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- KT ROLSTER
LoL: KT Rolster vs DRX (BO1)
128 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $1.75 (LOW) by April 30, 2026?
100 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
43 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- LAKERS
Lakers vs. Celtics
6 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- UC DAVIS AGGIES
UC Davis Aggies vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriors
5 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?
4 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLAnthropic IPO before 2027?$12.20Apr 6, 15:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $1.75 (LOW) by April 30, 2026?$2.50Feb 28, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnthropic IPO before 2027?$5.90Feb 26, 17:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnthropic IPO before 2027?$5.80Feb 26, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $1.75 (LOW) by April 30, 2026?$3.50Feb 25, 10:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$1.12Feb 25, 02:37 UTC
- REWARD$0.41Feb 25, 00:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$8.72Feb 24, 23:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$8.88Feb 24, 06:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.87Jan 20, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: DRX vs Dplus KIA (BO1)$8.12Dec 7, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: KT Rolster vs DRX (BO1)$1.00Dec 7, 12:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYLakers vs. Celtics$2.00Dec 5, 04:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYUC Davis Aggies vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriors$1.00Dec 5, 04:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on December 5?$1.00Dec 5, 04:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.00Nov 4, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner$2.00Oct 25, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MetaMask launch a token in 2025?$1.00Oct 7, 17:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $3.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 7, 17:53 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 6, 15:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".