Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
Probability
24¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.5pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$3.4K
Probability (last 7 days)
-7.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 14747.9h
- 12:06SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 14748h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 23¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.0pp
to 23¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.0pp
to 23¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.5pp
to 23¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.5pp
to 23¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.5pp
to 23¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.0pp
to 23¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 23¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.0pp
to 23¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 24¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 24¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 24¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 25¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
8- 45¢-4.0pp
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
Science · Vol $857.96
- 1¢-0.5pp
Will JPMorgan Chase or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
Science · Vol $154.41
- 11¢-2.5pp
Will Bank of America or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
Science · Vol $356.15
- 0¢0.0pp
Will Citigroup or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
Science · Vol $25.13
- 0¢0.0pp
Will Barclays or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
Science · Vol $100.00
- 0¢0.0pp
Will UBS or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
Science · Vol $150.00
- 0¢0.0pp
Will Deutsche Bank or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
Science · Vol $0.00
- 0¢0.0pp
Will Wells Fargo or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
Science · Vol $379.07
Market Description
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of SpaceX. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or SpaceX completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.” If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of SpaceX’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released. The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from SpaceX. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Dec 31, 2027
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).
Top Holders
20 wallets- That-Tabletop10.6K
- Cheery-Slice10.0K
- Hasty-Medication6.9K
- Silent-Amber6.9K
- Terrible-Ordinary6.0K