Modern-Thesis
0x0c3ffc709c6b4b926114790093cae3c08fdff75d
Activity score
85/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
32
Open notional
$3.6K
Total PnL
$-139.01
Realised
$-594.09
Win rate
43%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- YES
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?
4952 shares @ 32.3¢·now 58.5¢·exp May 11, 2026$2.9K
$1.3K
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?
1103 shares @ 38.4¢·now 56.1¢·exp May 12, 2026$618.67
$195.43
- ANYONES LEGEND
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner
408 shares @ 49.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp May 10, 2026$63.27
$-136.73
- YES
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?
2 shares @ 41.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp May 12, 2026$1.28
$0.28
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
1 shares @ 79.0¢·now 82.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.04
$0.04
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
1 shares @ 77.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.03
$0.03
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6 shares @ 15.4¢·now 15.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- YES
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
2 shares @ 43.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
3 shares @ 40.0¢·now 35.9¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.90
$-0.10
- YES
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?
1 shares @ 71.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.88
$-0.12
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYLoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner$203.0627m ago
- TRADEBUYLoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner$102.5334m ago
- TRADESELLLoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner$584.821h ago
- TRADESELLLoL: Weibo Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winner$320.981h ago
- TRADEBUYLoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner$133.041h ago
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$110.241h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$52.272h ago
- TRADEBUYLoL: Weibo Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winner$202.302h ago
- TRADESELLLoL: Weibo Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 Winner$145.652h ago
- TRADEBUYLoL: Weibo Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 Winner$100.962h ago
- TRADEBUYLoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner$65.603h ago
- TRADEBUYLoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner$40.793h ago
- TRADEBUYLoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner$10.284h ago
- TRADEBUYLoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner$10.294h ago
- TRADESELLLoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner$261.334h ago
- TRADEBUYLoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner$1.034h ago
- TRADEBUYLoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner$100.514h ago
- TRADEBUYLoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner$91.134h ago
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3AM ET$52.244h ago
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3AM ET$74.784h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $102.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 7h ago
- Last active
- 27m ago
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
