Full-Complicity
0x0c643de32ced19368a630bd2e6797a0c1f2f2146
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
93
Open notional
$1.55
Total PnL
$-68.08
Realised
$1.98
Win rate
57%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 93- EPIC GAMES
Epic Games vs Roblox - higher valuation on December 31?
4 shares @ 25.0¢·now 37.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.38
$0.46
- YES
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
5 shares @ 23.0¢·now 3.5¢·exp Sep 13, 2026$0.18
$-0.97
- YES
Will Anthropic have the third highest private market valuation on June 30?
5 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.60
- YES
Will "Ladies First" be the top US Netflix movie this week?
138 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-0.79
- YES
Will "The Silent Twins" be the top US Netflix movie this week?
130 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-0.90
- YES
Will "Gladiator II" be the top global Netflix movie this week?
100 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-0.30
- YES
Will "The Boroughs" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?
100 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-0.30
- YES
Will "Black Phone 2" be the top global Netflix movie this week?
100 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-0.20
- YES
Will "Running Point" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?
100 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-0.20
- YES
Will "Bugonia" be the top global Netflix movie this week?
100 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-0.40
Recent activity
- TRADESELLHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$0.40Jun 21, 12:15 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by December 31?$1.50Jun 21, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYO/U 3.5 Rounds$0.10Jun 15, 05:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYO/U 3.5 Rounds$0.10Jun 15, 05:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYO/U 3.5 Rounds$0.30Jun 15, 05:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ilia Topuria win by KO or TKO?$0.01Jun 15, 04:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ilia Topuria win by KO or TKO?$0.09Jun 15, 04:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ilia Topuria win by KO or TKO?$1.00Jun 15, 04:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYO/U 2.5 Rounds$0.10Jun 15, 04:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYO/U 2.5 Rounds$0.50Jun 15, 04:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYO/U 1.5 Rounds$0.20Jun 15, 04:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: M80 vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1$0.62Jun 3, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: M80 vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1$0.10Jun 3, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: M80 vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1$0.94Jun 3, 19:41 UTC
- TRADESELLEpic Games vs Roblox - higher valuation on December 31?$1.00May 31, 18:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "GOAT" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?$0.10May 23, 20:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Swapped" be the top global Netflix movie this week?$0.16May 22, 16:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Man on Fire" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?$0.07May 22, 15:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Worst Ex Ever: Season 2" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?$0.14May 22, 15:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Bad Thoughts: Season 2" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?$0.08May 22, 15:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
18/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
57% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 63/100.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 20, 15:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 21, 12:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.