Sticky-Creative
0x0c68f6ab9089921302f2fd5f5d5d4cc8782fce0a
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-797.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will any other Democratic Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
2000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will any other Republican Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
1750 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
444 shares @ 39.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-175.00
- NO
September temperature increase by between 1.23-1.28°C?
412 shares @ 48.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $73,000 on March 9?
228 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Bitcoin above $62,000 on October 11?
218 shares @ 91.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 11, 2024$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 on March 9?
111 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Leicester City beat Bournemouth?
101 shares @ 74.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 5, 2024$0.00
$-75.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Kamala" 10 or more times during Las Vegas rally on October 24?
67 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2024$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 April 27-May 3?
67 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $2,100 July 13-19?$200.20Jul 20, 04:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,100 July 13-19?$200.01Jul 19, 07:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $2,200 July 6-12?$230.23Jul 13, 04:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,200 July 6-12?$230.02Jul 9, 14:52 UTC
- REDEEMUkraine election held by June 30, 2026?$232.49Jul 1, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine election held by June 30, 2026?$229.00May 10, 08:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $2,000 April 27-May 3?$200.40May 4, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,000 April 27-May 3?$200.03May 2, 12:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,500 April 27-May 3?$1.07May 2, 12:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?$220.22May 2, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?$220.02Apr 29, 13:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum dip to $1,400 in April?$229.74Apr 29, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,400 in April?$228.29Apr 20, 13:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $82,000 April 13-19?$228.29Apr 20, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $82,000 April 13-19?$226.17Apr 13, 17:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $84,000 April 6-12?$226.17Apr 13, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $84,000 April 6-12?$225.96Apr 6, 15:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on March 10?$225.96Apr 6, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on March 10?$225.28Mar 9, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $73,000 on March 9?$2.00Mar 9, 16:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $98.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 24, 08:37 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 04:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.