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GeopoliticsExpires Dec 31, 2025

Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?

Probability

1h

+0.1pp

24h

+0.1pp

24h Vol

$10.2K

Liquidity

$22.0K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.9pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 07:00Apr 25, 2026, 04:43
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

 

Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 04:44Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

    LOW
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if national elections for the parliament and/or presidency of Ukraine are held between February 12, 2025, and June 30, 2026, PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market is based on whether national elections are actually held in Ukraine within the specified dates. Merely scheduling an election will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". If elections are officially scheduled for a date outside this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Dec 31, 2025
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Not specified in metadata
Market type
Binary
  • No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

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