Mild-Equivalent
0x0c74f52b7723b8dc25143181affc19fa62a24b2f
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$5.38
Total PnL
$-9.62
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 31?
5 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.38
$0.38
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
87 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- KT ROLSTER
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)
13 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 9, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
2 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
2 shares @ 64.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?
1 shares @ 91.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 31?$5.01May 21, 06:51 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$10.75May 21, 06:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$3.41May 21, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$10.00Jan 9, 10:16 UTC
- REDEEMGOP uses 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by December 31?$1.04Jan 9, 10:16 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$2.86Jan 9, 10:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$10.00Jan 9, 10:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$2.00Nov 10, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)$5.00Nov 8, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?$1.00Nov 8, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYGOP uses 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by December 31?$1.00Nov 8, 17:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?$1.06Nov 8, 17:46 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?$5.95Nov 8, 17:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$99.90Oct 20, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$100.00Oct 20, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$2.00Oct 20, 18:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$199.50Oct 9, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$200.00Oct 9, 17:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the top AI model on September 30?$10.16Oct 8, 07:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$57.93Oct 8, 07:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $92.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 22, 17:08 UTC
- Last active
- May 21, 06:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.