Distant-Proponent
0x0c97325a81ad05c6b58ae30d12eaaec1b8451b68
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$44.6K
Total PnL
$-12.6K
Realised
$13.5K
Win rate
60%
55 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
40000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 80.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$32.0K
$12.0K
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
40000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 20.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$8.0K
$-12.0K
- YES
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
4000 shares @ 5.7¢·now 82.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.3K
$3.1K
- NO
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
600 shares @ 58.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$542.99
$195.00
- NO
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
2485 shares @ 13.6¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$335.44
$-2.14
- YES
Will Siga Batista win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
1360 shares @ 0.0¢·now 12.4¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$169.31
$169.31
- YES
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay
900 shares @ 18.4¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$85.50
$-80.50
- YES
Will João de Deus Mendes win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
1060 shares @ 0.0¢·now 4.3¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$46.00
$46.00
- YES
Will Honório Augusto Lopes win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
1489 shares @ 0.0¢·now 2.7¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$40.19
$40.19
- YES
Will Gabriel Fernando Indi win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
1147 shares @ 0.0¢·now 2.7¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$30.97
$30.97
Recent activity
- YIELD$3.56Jul 28, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$3.56Jul 27, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$3.56Jul 26, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$3.56Jul 25, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$3.56Jul 24, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$3.56Jul 23, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$3.56Jul 22, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast get married by December 31?$711.10Jul 21, 20:29 UTC
- YIELD$3.56Jul 21, 20:07 UTC
- YIELD$3.56Jul 21, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$3.56Jul 19, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$3.56Jul 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$3.56Jul 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$3.56Jul 16, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$3.56Jul 15, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$3.56Jul 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$3.56Jul 13, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$3.56Jul 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$3.56Jul 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$3.56Jul 10, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
73/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
60% win rate over 55 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
55 closed markets, 60% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 18:46 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 55 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.