Direct-Drawing
0x0ca116f94bfdd369298bf13c9f30b0634e1617de
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$11.74
Total PnL
$-23.38
Realised
$4.56
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NORWAY
Winter Games 2026: Will USA or Norway earn more medals?
6 shares @ 69.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$5.80
$1.80
- NO
Will Apple announce the iPhone 17e by February 28?
5 shares @ 42.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$4.76
$2.76
- NO
Spain snap election called by June 30, 2026?
1 shares @ 81.0¢·now 96.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.19
$0.19
- NO
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?
38 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.71
- YES
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?
20 shares @ 20.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 100M and 125M views in its first 7 days?
18 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-12.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
9 shares @ 22.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.04
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET
9 shares @ 78.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-6.95
- UP
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 9?
6 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in January 2026?
5 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 100M and 125M views in its first 7 days?$12.99Feb 13, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$7.00Feb 11, 22:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple announce the iPhone 17e by February 28?$2.00Feb 11, 22:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWinter Games 2026: Will USA or Norway earn more medals? $4.00Feb 11, 22:35 UTC
- REDEEMSeahawks vs. Patriots$0.00Feb 11, 22:34 UTC
- TRADESELLGovernment shutdown on Saturday?$6.12Feb 11, 22:34 UTC
- REDEEMSeahawks vs. Patriots$7.25Feb 11, 22:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYGovernment shutdown on Saturday?$5.00Feb 7, 00:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 9?$3.00Feb 7, 00:43 UTC
- TRADESELLS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 5?$6.15Feb 5, 09:52 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$0.42Feb 4, 22:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 5?$10.00Feb 4, 22:21 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$20.87Feb 4, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$4.00Feb 4, 22:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$20.00Feb 4, 22:16 UTC
- REDEEMOpendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on February 3?$2.63Feb 4, 22:07 UTC
- TRADESELLS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 4?$7.13Feb 4, 22:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 4?$4.00Feb 4, 00:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 3?$0.00Feb 4, 00:44 UTC
- TRADESELLS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 3?$8.44Feb 3, 14:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $6.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 3, 00:45 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 13, 23:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".