0x0ca2c2d79d4a82d7e6b0c3c67572032d41e51d50
0x0ca2c2d79d4a82d7e6b0c3c67572032d41e51d50
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- MIAMI MARLINS
Spread: Miami Marlins (-4.5)
108 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. Milwaukee Brewers
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?
75 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLTrump out as President before 2027?$0.92May 10, 13:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?$0.88May 10, 13:16 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?$1.00May 10, 13:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?$0.80May 10, 13:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?$0.75May 10, 13:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?$0.86May 10, 13:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rafael Jodar win the 2026 Men's French Open?$0.94May 10, 13:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill White House post 140-159 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$0.05May 10, 13:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?$0.98May 10, 13:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$0.85May 10, 13:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?$0.83May 10, 13:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?$0.85May 10, 13:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?$0.75May 10, 13:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Atlanta United FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?$0.86May 10, 13:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Solana reach $170 in May?$0.72May 10, 13:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.85May 10, 13:16 UTC
- TRADESELLUEFA Champions League: Unbeaten Champion$0.22May 10, 13:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.88May 10, 13:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $3,800 in May?$0.78May 10, 13:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2026?$0.79May 10, 13:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 42/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $0.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 9, 23:12 UTC
- Last active
- May 10, 13:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.