Elegant-Cloister
0x0cb10c40b0776e9ee8cef970af85724654dda76c
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$80.0K
Total PnL
$-393.23
Realised
$1.9K
Win rate
53%
66 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
63000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$36.9K
$5.4K
- NO
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
63000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$26.1K
$-5.4K
- YES
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
4800 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.8K
$7.20
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
3836 shares @ 30.3¢·now 49.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.9K
$734.78
- NO
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
1497 shares @ 63.3¢·now 73.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.1K
$152.07
- NO
Will Curacao reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 97.2¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$984.99
$13.00
- NO
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
991 shares @ 86.8¢·now 90.8¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$899.83
$39.90
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5791 shares @ 8.0¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$483.52
$20.27
- NO
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
577 shares @ 36.1¢·now 81.8¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$471.69
$263.40
- YES
Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?
716 shares @ 16.0¢·now 63.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$450.92
$336.40
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$100.00Jun 13, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Warsh say "Trump" during June Press Conference?$4.50Jun 13, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Warsh say "Trump" during June Press Conference?$14.40Jun 13, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Warsh say "Trump" during June Press Conference?$19.26Jun 13, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Warsh say "Trump" during June Press Conference?$14.40Jun 13, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Warsh say "Trump" during June Press Conference?$0.07Jun 13, 20:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Granit Xhaka score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$52.23Jun 13, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar score 1+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$99.75Jun 13, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar Jr. score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$133.83Jun 13, 20:33 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$58.83Jun 13, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$50.00Jun 13, 19:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Granit Xhaka score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$55.63Jun 13, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Qatar win on 2026-06-13?$4.83Jun 13, 19:07 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$1.10Jun 13, 19:01 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$0.07Jun 13, 19:01 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$30.00Jun 13, 17:51 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16?$61.78Jun 13, 17:41 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 18?$140.83Jun 13, 17:41 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$265.15Jun 13, 17:10 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$340.00Jun 13, 17:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $79.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 13:02 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 21:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 66 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.