Concrete-Party
0x0cb3d028b54753b3498fa80500e71401fea08b32
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$205.80
Total PnL
$-10.0K
Realised
$-58.57
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
204 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$204.20
$0.20
- NO
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
2 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.59
$-0.01
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 5, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
10000 shares @ 97.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-9.7K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 3, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET
385 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
143 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 1, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
104 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Mallorca win on 2025-11-29?
24 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 29, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- MALLORCA
Spread: Mallorca (-1.5)
15 shares @ 19.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 29, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$204.01May 21, 18:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP reach $2.80 in April?$204.09May 21, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $2.80 in April?$203.39Apr 20, 16:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$203.39Apr 20, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$203.19Mar 13, 20:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $200 in February?$203.19Mar 13, 20:12 UTC
- REWARD$0.20Mar 1, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $200 in February?$202.99Feb 23, 21:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Orlando Cruz win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$1.56Feb 23, 21:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rui Moreira win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$3.29Feb 23, 21:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Baidu have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$3.79Feb 23, 21:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the total number of TSA passengers for January 2 be between 1,750,000 and 2,000,000?$3.99Feb 23, 21:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jorge Pinto win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$4.00Feb 23, 21:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Chainlink dip to $6 in January?$4.01Feb 23, 21:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Paulo Portas win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$4.02Feb 23, 21:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the total number of TSA passengers for January 2 be less than 1,750,000?$4.30Feb 23, 21:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Aristides Teixeira win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$4.50Feb 23, 21:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$17.05Feb 23, 21:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the total number of TSA passengers for January 2 be between 2,000,000 and 2,250,000?$20.02Feb 23, 21:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Pedro Passos Coelho win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$5.00Feb 23, 21:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $72.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 12, 22:28 UTC
- Last active
- May 21, 18:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.