Kooky-Doubt
0x0cb5e135e914455a162339859634c9ef40e87fe7
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
11
Open notional
$51.56
Total PnL
$-657.48
Realised
$110.83
Win rate
17%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Alibaba be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?
69 shares @ 71.8¢·now 42.8¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$29.47
$-20.03
- YES
Will Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)?
94 shares @ 52.7¢·now 23.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$22.08
$-27.42
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
500 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- YES
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026?
291 shares @ 60.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-176.55
- YES
Another critical Cloudflare incident by July 31, 2026?
283 shares @ 17.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$0.00
$-49.50
- YES
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 30, 2026?
206 shares @ 96.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-199.98
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
203 shares @ 72.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-147.60
- YES
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?
127 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-83.49
- YES
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
100 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-31.00
- ILIA TOPURIA
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)
25 shares @ 81.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-20.25
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 13, 2026?$124.71Aug 13, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 13, 2026?$119.99Aug 13, 21:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?$32.53Aug 13, 17:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?$4.00Aug 13, 17:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?$8.00Aug 13, 17:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?$1.25Aug 13, 17:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?$4.99Aug 13, 17:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 12, 2026?$100.00Aug 13, 01:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 12, 2026?$99.00Aug 12, 23:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027?$121.60Aug 12, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027?$18.36Aug 12, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027?$63.81Aug 12, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027?$37.37Aug 12, 19:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alibaba be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?$47.32Aug 12, 14:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alibaba be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?$24.90Aug 12, 14:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump post "Putin" on Truth Social this week?$121.23Aug 11, 18:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump post "Putin" on Truth Social this week?$62.37Aug 11, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump post "Putin" on Truth Social this week?$56.88Aug 11, 16:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 10, 2026?$100.00Aug 11, 03:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 10, 2026?$99.00Aug 11, 02:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
22/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
17% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $66.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 15:40 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 13, 21:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.