Automatic-Tuba
0x0cb9f32f82dde5d438a62177341a88f3da21e983
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
120
Open notional
$129.67
Total PnL
$-4.7K
Realised
$823.50
Win rate
25%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 120- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
181 shares @ 19.3¢·now 39.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$70.49
$35.49
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
276 shares @ 12.7¢·now 21.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$59.17
$24.17
- YES
Will Houston win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
8437 shares @ 8.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-749.99
- YES
Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?
3996 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-250.00
- YES
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?
2857 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-400.00
- YES
Will Sungjae Im win the 2026 Masters tournament?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Kansas win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
1926 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Hunter Henry: Anytime Touchdown
1726 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-517.82
- YES
Will St. John's win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
1700 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- BILLS
Spread: Broncos (-1.5)
1686 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-860.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jul 14, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 13, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.39Jul 12, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.31Jul 12, 19:58 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 12, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 10, 00:10 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$1.94Jul 9, 21:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 9, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 8, 00:23 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 7, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 6, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 5, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 4, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 3, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 2, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 1, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 30, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Brazil (-1.5)$7.14Jun 29, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYGermany to score first vs. Paraguay? AND Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? AND Germany leading at halftime?$2.00Jun 29, 10:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
27/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
25% win rate over 8 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
22 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
8 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $3.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 23, 12:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.