Dapper-Cotton
0x0cc7c4a2f734d2f75c9c16104fcf87687c37b15f
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$2.1K
Total PnL
$-115.74
Realised
$5.93
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
631 shares @ 95.1¢·now 95.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$601.58
$1.58
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
615 shares @ 97.6¢·now 97.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$601.18
$1.18
- YES
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
650 shares @ 59.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$380.25
$-3.25
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1050 shares @ 24.5¢·now 19.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$203.18
$-54.08
- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
202 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$201.51
$1.51
- NO
SlingshotDAO FDV above $500M one day after launch?
78 shares @ 98.6¢·now 88.1¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$68.59
$-8.11
- YES
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?
50 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-25.50
- YES
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?
50 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-23.00
- YES
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?
30 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.16Jul 29, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.16Jul 28, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.16Jul 27, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jul 26, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$600.57Jul 25, 13:04 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 25, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 24, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 23, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 22, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 21, 20:06 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$162.77Jul 21, 16:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 21, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 19, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 15, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jul 13, 00:16 UTC
- REDEEMUFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)$6.00Jul 12, 03:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
7 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 67/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $266.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 29, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.