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OtherExpires Jan 1, 2028

SlingshotDAO FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Probability

11¢

1h

+0.1pp

24h

-0.5pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$9.8K

Probability (last 7 days)

-3.9pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 18:00Apr 25, 2026, 15:47
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 2 factors
  1. 1

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 14773h with open resolution ambiguity.

  2. 2

    Wide spread — 12.6¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 14773.2h

    LOW
  • 15:47Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 14773h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 15:00Price

    Probability down -3.9pp

    to 12¢

    MEDIUM
  • 14:00Price

    Probability down -4.2pp

    to 11¢

    MEDIUM
  • 10:00Price

    Probability up 6.6pp

    to 17¢

    MEDIUM
  • 07:00Price

    Probability up 4.3pp

    to 15¢

    MEDIUM
  • 05:00Price

    Probability up 4.1pp

    to 16¢

    MEDIUM
  • 03:00Price

    Probability down -3.4pp

    to 12¢

    MEDIUM
  • 21:00Price

    Probability down -4.7pp

    to 10¢

    MEDIUM
  • 18:00Price

    Probability down -3.4pp

    to 10¢

    MEDIUM
  • 17:00Price

    Probability down -5.4pp

    to 10¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -6.6pp

    to 10¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.8pp

    to 11¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -5.8pp

    to 10¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -5.5pp

    to 10¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -5.7pp

    to 10¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 7.1pp

    to 17¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 4.8pp

    to 15¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 6.3pp

    to 17¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 5.5pp

    to 17¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -6.8pp

    to 6¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -8.3pp

    to 5¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Slingshot's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Only an official token launched by Slingshot will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Slingshot (https://x.com/SlingshotDAO) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Resolution & Risk

MEDIUM risk
End date
Jan 1, 2028
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Not specified in metadata
Market type
Binary
  • No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
  • Wide spread (12.6¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).