0x0cdc026e965863be785f99b9c9227ee0d95d9056
0x0cdc026e965863be785f99b9c9227ee0d95d9056
Wallet digest
Activity score
32/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
58
Open notional
$0.59
Total PnL
$-243.76
Realised
$-28.93
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 58- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?
29 shares @ 3.5¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.59
$-0.41
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 5?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
2174 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
2057 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-14.40
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on June 5?
1967 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 5?
1765 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on June 7?
1068 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 7?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 7?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C or below on June 13?
863 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win on 2026-07-11?$23.13Jul 11, 22:33 UTC
- TRADESELLUFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)$21.36Jul 11, 22:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)$104.55Jul 11, 16:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?$106.32Jul 10, 23:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?$67.03Jul 10, 16:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?$0.85Jul 10, 14:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $77,500 in July?$0.89Jul 10, 14:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 in July?$0.92Jul 10, 14:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in July?$0.92Jul 10, 14:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?$0.97Jul 10, 14:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win on 2026-07-09?$62.52Jul 10, 03:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-09?$40.22Jul 8, 23:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026?$0.80Jul 8, 23:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?$0.86Jul 8, 23:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?$0.85Jul 8, 23:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026?$0.90Jul 8, 23:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?$0.68Jul 8, 19:18 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?$0.49Jul 8, 19:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?$0.86Jul 8, 19:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?$0.86Jul 8, 19:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
12/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 73/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $8.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 4, 14:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 11, 22:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.