Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?
Probability
11¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+1.0pp
24h Vol
$462.45
Liquidity
$77.1K
Probability (last 7 days)
+2.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 1 factor- 1
Up 1pp over 24h
Now 11¢; flat in the last hour.
What to track next
- Set an alert at the next ±5pp probability move so you find out before the next leg.
- Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
- Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 3764.0h
Price movement
+1.0pp over the last 24h, now 11¢.
Biggest hourly move: +3.0pp at 4d ago (to 11¢).
Show 2 hourly moves
- 4d ago · +3.0pp → 11¢
- 4d ago · +3.0pp → 11¢
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT between 16 December '25 10:30 and 11:59PM ET on the date specified in the title has a final “High” price that is higher than any previous Binance 1 minute candle's "High" price on any prior date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Oct 1, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.
Top Holders
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- Hideous-Anticipation11.1K
- Spotless-Corridor11.1K
- Serene-Decision15.7K
- Formal-Painting15.1K
- Honest-Tackle14.0K
- Vigorous-Rug13.1K
- Robust-Edible13.0K