Portly-Mama
0x0ce858679ccb60058b3dd01cc86321bd317c9827
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-81.90
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
1500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 65°F or below on June 2?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?
325 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.30
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 56°F or higher on December 2?
103 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 29 to January 31, 2026?
100 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- YES
Will XRP dip to $2.30 in September?
100 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$0.00
$-5.50
- NO
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
58 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Solana reach $240 September 29-October 5?
39 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 6, 2025$0.00
$-13.10
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?$61.06Jun 3, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?$61.00Jun 2, 10:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 65°F or below on June 2?$1.05Jun 1, 13:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$62.06May 26, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$62.00May 25, 11:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 19?$62.12May 19, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 19?$62.01May 19, 12:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $72,000 on May 17?$43.04May 17, 20:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on May 15?$19.02May 15, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $72,000 on May 17?$43.00May 15, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$3.15May 13, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on May 15?$19.00May 13, 13:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 9?$65.06May 13, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 9?$65.00May 8, 11:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 6?$65.06May 8, 11:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 6?$65.00May 6, 10:28 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$64.99May 6, 10:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $86,000 on May 4?$1.20May 6, 10:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $86,000 on May 4?$1.20May 4, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$65.00Apr 30, 13:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $48.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 11, 13:25 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 3, 18:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".