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OtherExpires Jun 30, 2026

Starmer out by April 30, 2026?

Probability

1¢

1h

-0.1pp

24h

-2.1pp

24h Vol

$496.5K

Liquidity

$151.8K

Probability (last 7 days)

-5.7pp 7d
Apr 17, 2026, 19:00Apr 24, 2026, 18:07
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

 

Without an Anthropic API key we show a heuristic summary derived from the market metrics.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 1601.9h

    LOW
  • 18:07Signal

    Signal · Clustered NO flow

    25 trades ($5,882) aligned on NO across 22 wallets in the last 30 min.

    HIGH
  • 18:07Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 1602h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 18:07Trade

    Motionless-Artifact · SELL YES $5.3K

    @ 88¢

    MEDIUM
  • 18:00Price

    Probability down -5.2pp

    to 1¢

    MEDIUM
  • 17:00Price

    Probability down -5.0pp

    to 1¢

    MEDIUM
  • 16:00Price

    Probability down -4.8pp

    to 2¢

    MEDIUM
  • 14:00Price

    Probability down -3.8pp

    to 3¢

    MEDIUM
  • 13:00Price

    Probability down -4.1pp

    to 3¢

    MEDIUM
  • 12:00Price

    Probability down -4.1pp

    to 3¢

    MEDIUM
  • 11:00Price

    Probability down -3.9pp

    to 3¢

    MEDIUM
  • 10:00Price

    Probability down -3.9pp

    to 3¢

    MEDIUM
  • 08:00Price

    Probability down -3.4pp

    to 3¢

    MEDIUM
  • 07:00Price

    Probability down -3.2pp

    to 3¢

    MEDIUM
  • 05:00Price

    Probability down -3.9pp

    to 3¢

    MEDIUM
  • 22:00Price

    Probability down -4.3pp

    to 4¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.8pp

    to 5¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -6.7pp

    to 6¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.5pp

    to 4¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

25
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

12
Same eventStarmer out by...?
Category · Other

Market Description

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

Resolution & Risk

MEDIUM risk
End date
Jun 30, 2026
Resolution source
UMA status
n/a
Market type
Binary
  • No primary resolution source listed — read the market rules.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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Top Holders

20 wallets
Open on Polymarket