Ugly-Closure
0x0ced4f3afa5d9bfbd7ab82fd124896a7160c12b2
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$17.5K
Total PnL
$-4.5K
Realised
$540.21
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
16110 shares @ 70.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$9.4K
$-1.8K
- YES
US recession by end of 2026?
20571 shares @ 29.8¢·now 17.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2027$3.6K
$-2.5K
- YES
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
7206 shares @ 30.6¢·now 26.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.9K
$-335.34
- NO
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
3900 shares @ 61.0¢·now 45.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.8K
$-604.50
- YES
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
10899 shares @ 3.9¢·now 6.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$702.97
$277.09
- YES
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10000 shares @ 2.2¢·now 1.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$165.00
$-55.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.24Jun 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.22Jun 13, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$226.45Jun 12, 18:49 UTC
- YIELD$0.23Jun 12, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.23Jun 11, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?$0.00Jun 10, 22:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?$0.00Jun 10, 22:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.24Jun 10, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.24Jun 9, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.24Jun 8, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.23Jun 7, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.23Jun 6, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.22Jun 5, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.21Jun 4, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.24Jun 3, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.23Jun 2, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.24Jun 1, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.26May 31, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.26May 30, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.30May 29, 00:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $21.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 11, 16:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.