Needy-Legitimacy
0x0cedc0dcb4671ded7a1e8885aa55e0440303dc72
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
28
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-262.04
Realised
$-98.10
Win rate
0%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,100 and $3,200 on January 1?
287 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.47
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $1.80 on January 5?
286 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.21
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $1.70 on January 2?
284 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 2, 2026$0.00
$-2.34
- YES
Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?
281 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.87
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,500 on January 15?
278 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.71
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $3,400 December 29-January 4?
274 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.37
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,300 and $3,400 on January 12?
274 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-3.33
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 4?
273 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$0.00
$-2.22
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $130 on January 12?
273 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.72
- UP
XRP Up or Down on January 8?
272 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.63
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 16?$78.63Jul 16, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 16?$77.29Jul 15, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.10 on July 2?$3.15Jul 1, 18:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP dip to $1.20 in May?$2.41May 31, 15:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 25?$92.61May 25, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 26?$1.35May 25, 18:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 25?$90.48May 24, 19:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 12-18?$82.50May 18, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 12-18?$79.53May 18, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 11-17?$2.92May 17, 04:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $184 Week of April 13 2026?$80.32May 11, 15:54 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down on April 27?$28.62Apr 27, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down on April 27?$26.04Apr 27, 12:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $184 Week of April 13 2026?$78.39Apr 17, 02:35 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - April 10, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$83.33Apr 17, 02:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on April 16?$1.85Apr 16, 03:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on April 14?$1.31Apr 14, 03:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - April 10, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$81.33Apr 10, 19:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $2.20 on January 12?$0.00Apr 10, 19:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,800 and $2,900 on January 12?$0.00Mar 31, 18:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
20/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $42.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 28, 14:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 16, 16:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.