Wallet profile

Incomparable-Monotheism

0x0cf6fa8a437a66bdec677a5ea9df88f74bf70e3b

activity 53/100

Wallet digest

active

Activity score

53/100

Performance measurable

Open positions

114

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-11.7K

Realised

$2.3K

Win rate

58%

59 closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Recent activity

  • REFERRAL_REWARD$124.34Jul 22, 00:35 UTC
  • REFERRAL_REWARD$54.09Jul 20, 00:35 UTC
  • REFERRAL_REWARD$257.30Jul 19, 01:04 UTC
  • REFERRAL_REWARD$134.91Jul 18, 00:35 UTC
  • REFERRAL_REWARD$31.08Jul 17, 00:35 UTC
  • REFERRAL_REWARD$38.52Jul 16, 00:48 UTC
  • REFERRAL_REWARD$41.68Jul 15, 00:35 UTC
  • REWARD$1.82Jul 15, 00:00 UTC
  • REFERRAL_REWARD$13.24Jul 14, 00:35 UTC
  • REFERRAL_REWARD$69.77Jul 13, 01:02 UTC
  • REFERRAL_REWARD$132.45Jul 12, 00:35 UTC
  • REFERRAL_REWARD$12.95Jul 11, 00:35 UTC
  • REFERRAL_REWARD$3.60Jul 10, 00:35 UTC
  • TAKER_REBATE$92.44Jul 9, 21:16 UTC
  • MAKER_REBATE$353.80Jul 7, 00:45 UTC
  • YIELD$0.01Jul 7, 00:13 UTC
  • TAKER_REBATE$29.94Jul 7, 00:10 UTC
  • REWARD$44.16Jul 7, 00:00 UTC
  • TRADESELLWill BK Hacken win on 2026-07-06?$3.92Jul 6, 17:05 UTC
  • TRADEBUYWill BK Hacken win on 2026-07-06?$3.95Jul 6, 17:04 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

Ledger volume

$11.7K

Trades

1

Buy share

0%

Window

Jul 1, 03:20 UTC → Jul 2, 21:11 UTC

Last 30 days · daily volumemax $5.4K

Wallet edge sanity

Needs review

73/100
read-only

Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.

Late-entry profile

Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.

Required before treating wallet flow as useful

Resolved-only performance

58% win rate over 59 closed markets.

Copy-lag simulation

A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.

Liquidity and exit

Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.

Resolution-source risk

The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.

Survivorship bias

Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.

Wallet intelligence filter

Watch only

29/100
no PredictFoliopaper-only

Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.

Wallet signal
pass

32 live trades, 2 ledger trades, copy-risk 40/100.

Resolved-only track record
pass

59 closed markets, 58% win rate.

Cost / slippage
missing

No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.

Resolution risk
missing

No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.

Market liquidity
missing

No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.

Copy-lag simulation
missing

No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.

Paper-only attribution
missing

No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.

Profile dimensions

Activity67 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence100 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry17 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk40 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time)
32
Avg trade size
$290.99
Top category
Category concentration
0%
First seen
Jul 6, 02:31 UTC
Last active
Jul 22, 00:35 UTC
Win rate sample
59 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.

updated 06:52:43 UTC·src:Polymarket Data