Thirsty-Browsing
0x0d01995d0a4e5fc31e08d6ecbafda2d4f34aee95
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
33
Open notional
$7.82
Total PnL
$-35.08
Realised
$-3.04
Win rate
31%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 19?
5 shares @ 69.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$4.50
$1.37
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 14?
2 shares @ 68.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$1.85
$0.59
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?
1 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$1.05
$0.19
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
3 shares @ 24.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.42
$-0.33
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?
53 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.60
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 12?
53 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.60
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 15?
24 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.42
- NRG
Counter-Strike: NRG vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner
10 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.78
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 11?
8 shares @ 21.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.72
- FC CINCINNATI
Spread: FC Cincinnati (-1.5)
8 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 28?$3.64May 28, 14:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on May 28?$3.68May 28, 14:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 28?$3.67May 28, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on May 28?$5.00May 28, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 28?$5.00May 28, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 28?$4.99May 28, 14:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 28?$4.94May 28, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 28?$5.00May 28, 13:58 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 27?$0.54May 25, 10:26 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$2.42May 25, 10:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 25?$2.05May 25, 09:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 25?$1.02May 25, 09:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 27?$5.86May 25, 09:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 25?$4.69May 25, 02:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 26?$5.71May 25, 02:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 25?$0.32May 25, 02:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 25?$4.68May 25, 02:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "250" or "250th" during events in Rockland County?$4.76May 25, 01:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "250" or "250th" during events in Rockland County?$5.00May 25, 01:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 25?$4.50May 25, 00:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
35/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
31% win rate over 13 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
13 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $4.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 21, 17:23 UTC
- Last active
- May 28, 14:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.