Apt-Exterior
0x0d07a8a8a1bf69ce41ec06e06ffdacdbd4ed117e
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$8.48
Total PnL
$-11.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Russia enter Svitle by May 31?
3 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.67
$0.00
- NO
Another Iranian diplomat expelled by April 30?
2 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.78
$0.04
- NO
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.46
$0.00
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$1.41
$0.00
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
1 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$1.16
$0.01
- YES
Will DeepSeek’s DeepSeek V3.1 Chat win the NOF1.ai competition?
6 shares @ 84.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-5.28
- NO
Will Max Verstappen win the 2024 F1 season?
6 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2024$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Trump approval Up or Down this week?
3 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.53
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on November 23?
2 shares @ 67.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.24
- YES
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?
2 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill "I'm The Problem - Morgan Wallen" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of July 18?$1.32Jul 13, 21:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Procreate Pocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on July 10?$1.24Jul 10, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "I'm The Problem - Morgan Wallen" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of July 18?$1.32Jul 10, 08:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Procreate Pocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on July 10?$1.24Jul 10, 08:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C or higher on July 6?$1.15Jul 6, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C or higher on July 6?$1.15Jul 5, 06:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?$1.14Jul 1, 06:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk’s net worth be between $660b and $680b on June 30?$1.27Jul 1, 06:27 UTC
- REDEEMMojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?$1.34Jul 1, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYMojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?$1.34Jun 28, 09:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?$1.14Jun 28, 09:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Threads be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 15?$1.24Jun 15, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Threads be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 15?$1.24Jun 13, 09:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk’s net worth be between $660b and $680b on June 30?$1.27Jun 13, 09:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Svitle by May 31?$2.67May 31, 03:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?$1.41May 9, 02:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother Iranian diplomat expelled by April 30?$1.74Apr 30, 03:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?$1.46Apr 29, 08:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?$1.02Apr 29, 01:54 UTC
- REDEEMUS strike on Cuba by March 31?$1.22Apr 29, 01:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $6.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 13, 09:34 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 13, 21:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.