Deep-Sty
0x0d10b034c151e57ac90542c0aa242ceb9fb7a735
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
146
Open notional
$23.43
Total PnL
$-1.0K
Realised
$-28.83
Win rate
38%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 146- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
35 shares @ 28.5¢·now 23.2¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$8.12
$-1.88
- YES
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
59 shares @ 17.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$7.94
$-2.06
- YES
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
17 shares @ 29.2¢·now 30.9¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$5.30
$0.30
- NO
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?
13 shares @ 8.0¢·now 7.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.88
$-0.13
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.75
$-0.25
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.44
$-0.56
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET
516 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 1PM ET
199 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$0.00
$-7.31
- YES
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
83 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 25?
64 shares @ 7.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 3PM ET$15.74Jul 28, 19:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 3PM ET$6.32Jul 28, 19:37 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 3PM ET$21.02Jul 28, 19:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 3PM ET$13.35Jul 28, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 3PM ET$6.16Jul 28, 19:00 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 2PM ET$2.61Jul 28, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 2PM ET$6.26Jul 28, 18:54 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 2PM ET$12.52Jul 28, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 2PM ET$6.15Jul 28, 18:33 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 2PM ET$4.10Jul 28, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 2PM ET$6.16Jul 28, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 2PM ET$6.21Jul 28, 18:26 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 2PM ET$12.58Jul 28, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 2PM ET$13.42Jul 28, 18:00 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 1PM ET$0.12Jul 28, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 1PM ET$6.41Jul 28, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 1PM ET$6.40Jul 28, 17:34 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 1PM ET$2.11Jul 28, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 1PM ET$6.39Jul 28, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 1PM ET$6.35Jul 28, 17:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
31/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
38% win rate over 8 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
8 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $9.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 12:31 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 19:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.