Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?
Probability
62¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$234.09
Liquidity
$33.8K
Probability (last 7 days)
-4.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 5993.5h
- 06:27SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 5994h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 62¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 62¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 62¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 63¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 63¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 63¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 63¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 63¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 63¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 63¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 63¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 63¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 63¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 63¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 63¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 63¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 63¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 63¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 63¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
If Xi Jinping visits the United States between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Xi Jinping physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Xi Jinping enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the US or China, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Dec 31, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).
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