Front-Timpani
0x0d1c9f549dbc10c90c2f405f4f096d09a8dd6ac3
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
11
Open notional
$1.31
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$27.94
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
154 shares @ 9.7¢·now 0.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.31
$-13.69
- YES
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
99170 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 19, 2024$0.00
$-945.09
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
29290 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-186.40
- YES
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?
18750 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-18.75
- YES
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
5020 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-25.10
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
4063 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 19, 2024$0.00
$-125.00
- YES
Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
2262 shares @ 6.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 19, 2024$0.00
$-144.98
- NO
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
938 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-7.50
- YES
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
833 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- YES
Reform wins >23% of votes?
439 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2024$0.00
$-40.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$74.39Jun 3, 21:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$15.48Jun 3, 21:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$103.97Jun 3, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shabana Mahmood be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$15.00Feb 9, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?$15.14Feb 4, 21:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?$7.50Feb 2, 11:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?$12.50Feb 2, 10:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$17.52Feb 1, 23:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?$11.67Feb 1, 23:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$5.00Jan 30, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$10.00Jan 30, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?$5.00Jan 30, 12:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?$10.00Jan 30, 12:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?$10.00Jan 30, 12:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?$10.00Jan 30, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$25.10Nov 6, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hillary Clinton win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?$386.21Jul 24, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hillary Clinton win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?$102.00Jul 16, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hillary Clinton win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?$272.00Jul 15, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Obama win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?$125.00Jul 13, 13:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $64.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 4, 14:42 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 3, 21:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".