Best-Dot
0x0d42cc5ff0526fbb8f0bb9eafa9ebba3f23df124
Wallet digest
Activity score
97/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
103
Open notional
$3.7K
Total PnL
$-5.06
Realised
$733.29
Win rate
67%
57 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 103- NO
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
664 shares @ 45.6¢·now 44.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$295.61
$-7.44
- NO
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?
832 shares @ 33.0¢·now 33.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$274.69
$-0.24
- NO
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
392 shares @ 49.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$221.17
$29.29
- NO
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?
459 shares @ 43.5¢·now 42.5¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$195.06
$-4.77
- NO
Will Kyriakos Mitsotakis be the next Prime Minister of Greece?
1102 shares @ 24.5¢·now 16.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$176.35
$-93.32
- NO
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
272 shares @ 49.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$139.91
$6.86
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
299 shares @ 42.0¢·now 45.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$136.21
$10.47
- YES
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
300 shares @ 45.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$130.47
$-4.61
- YES
Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?
1227 shares @ 15.9¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$128.78
$-66.44
- NO
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by August 31, 2026?
109 shares @ 96.3¢·now 97.2¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$105.93
$0.93
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$13.13Jul 29, 02:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$3.28Jul 29, 02:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on July 29?$23.68Jul 29, 02:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on July 29?$55.50Jul 29, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?$14.50Jul 29, 02:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$5.77Jul 29, 02:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$191.59Jul 29, 01:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$108.24Jul 29, 01:51 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$113.83Jul 29, 01:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?$0.75Jul 29, 01:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?$8.60Jul 29, 01:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?$0.75Jul 29, 01:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?$8.60Jul 29, 01:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$0.14Jul 29, 01:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$0.26Jul 29, 01:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$0.02Jul 29, 01:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$0.41Jul 29, 01:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$0.03Jul 29, 01:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$0.20Jul 29, 01:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$0.20Jul 29, 01:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
76/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 57 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 32/100.
57 closed markets, 67% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $16.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 29, 00:35 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 02:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 57 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.